New predictive model distinguishes indolent SM from advanced SM

The model may help guide care across practice settings.

A new model accurately distinguished between indolent systemic mastocytosis (SM) and advanced SMAdvanced SM In these subtypes of SM, mast cells begin to damage organs. Advanced SM includes the subtypes aggressive SM, mast cell leukemia and SM with an associated hematological neoplasm. using blood sample parameters, according to a recent abstract of an analysis presented at the American Society of Hematology’s Annual Meeting and Exposition.

“To help guide care across practice settings and to minimize procedural diagnostic interventions that can have potential side effects, we developed a predictive model aiming to accurately classify ISM vs AdvSMAdvanced SM In these subtypes of SM, mast cells begin to damage organs. Advanced SM includes the subtypes aggressive SM, mast cell leukemia and SM with an associated hematological neoplasm. based on objective, easily assessed, and broadly available laboratory and clinical parameters,” the researchers said.

Nonadvanced SM comprises the indolent SMIndolent SM A subtype of nonadvanced SM caused by the abnormal accumulation of mast cells in the bone marrow and other organs. Indolent SM accounts for around 90% of SM cases. and smoldering SMSmoldering SM A subtype of nonadvanced SM, with a higher mast cell burden than the indolent subtype. Smoldering SM has a higher likelihood of progressing to an advanced form. subtypes. Advanced SM includes aggressive SMAggressive SM A subtype of advanced SM marked by a high mast cell burden that leads to organ damage. Aggressive SM accounts for less than 10% of SM cases., SM with an associated hematologic neoplasm and mast cell leukemiaMast cell leukemia The most severe subtype of SM, caused by the rapid buildup of immature mast cells in the bone marrow and blood. Mast cell leukemia accounts for less than 5% of SM cases and has a poor prognosis..

SM is a complex disease with several clinical subtypes. Both indolent and advanced subtypes can present with symptoms associated with excessive mast cell activationMast cell activation Describes when mast cells release histamine and other mediators into the blood stream in response to an allergen or other trigger. This leads to symptoms like fatigue, rash and, in severe cases, anaphylaxis., which can significantly limit daily activities and affect quality of life. 

Read more about SM testing and diagnosis

The key difference between the two subtypes: Patients with indolent SM have a normal life expectancy, while advanced  SM is associated with organ infiltration and damage, with a significant effect on survival.

The authors collected data from more than 400 patients with SM participating in SM clinical trials such as PATHFINDER and EXPLORER. Of them, 261 patients had indolent SM, and 176 patients had various forms of advanced SM. 

Researchers fed a forest algorithm various demographic parameters, including age, sex and country of origin, as well as clinical parameters such as the presence of intra-abdominal fluid (ascites), enlarged spleen (splenomegaly) and pleural effusion.

They also introduced laboratory data such as liver enzymes, albumin, alkaline phosphatase, basophil count, eosinophil count, hemoglobin, white blood cell (WBC) count and platelet count. 

The algorithm produced various models to distinguish patients with indolent SM and advanced SM. Model 1 showed an excellent discriminative ability with an area under the curve (AUC) of 0.97. Statistically speaking, the closer the AUC is to 1, the greater the predictive value of a clinical tool. Model 2 also had an excellent predictive ability, with an AUC of 0.95.

Model 1 relied on age, platelets, absolute monocyte count, hemoglobin, alkaline phosphatase, tryptaseTryptase A protein enzyme that is primarily produced by mast cells and stored in small pockets within the cells, known as granules. High levels of tryptase are a key indicator of SM. and total bilirubin. Model 2 used pleural effusion, ascites, hemoglobin, absolute neutrophil count and platelets.

Model 1 misclassified 31 patients; model 2 misclassified 33 patients. The authors pointed out that misclassified patients had several high-risk characteristics. “Patients aberrantly classified by these models may identify current limitations in our understanding of SM biology,” the authors said.